Thursday, August 12, 2021

IDC launches R1.5 billion funding package towards the recent unrest and looting.

 The Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) has launched a R1.5 billion funding package in response to the civil unrest, looting and destruction of property thToeaat occurred in parts of the country. The unrest, mainly in KwaZulu-Natal and parts of Gauteng, resulted in the tragic loss of life and a negative impact on the economy and livelihoods.

The IDC’s R1.5 billion Post Unrest Business Recovery package includes funding support for businesses and communities impacted by the unrest. This package is a part of the R3.75 billion comprehensive economic recovery package recently announced by the Minister of Trade, Industry and Competition, Mr Ebrahim Patel.
“We began monitoring the negative impact soon after the civil unrest flared up. Our exposure to key sectors of the economy and feedback from our affected client base spread across the country, particularly in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng, gave us insights into the impact on business activity,” says IDC CEO TP Nchocho.

Nchocho is particularly concerned about the lasting impact of the unrest on the local and regional supply chains. Export-oriented businesses in KwaZulu-Natal might lose out on opportunities in the long- term if business confidence remains affected.

R1.4 billion of the total package is earmarked to assist businesses (existing and new clients) in select sectors. The funding will be available at concessionary rates to give businesses a better chance to rebuild. Bridging loans for insurance payouts will be offered at 0%, with other debt facilities priced at prime plus 1%.

IDC has also set aside a R100 million regional programmes grant for technical and financial assistance to small businesses in townships, rural areas, and small towns affected by the unrest and associated supply chain disruptions.
In Gauteng, the Corporation will partner with the Gauteng Enterprise Propeller which has set aside R50 million to co-invest with IDC on the proposed R100 million grant funding. In addition, the IDC will be administering the dtic’s R400 million Manufacturing Competitiveness Enhancement Programme (MCEP) Economic Stabilisation Fund.

The fund will support manufacturing companies affected by the unrest, including those impacted by associated supply chain disruptions. The fund will offer concessionary funding to affected companies through interest free loans.
Through its CSI programme, IDC has further allocated R 10 million towards food and social security and recovery efforts in affected communities. This funding will cater for school infrastructure rebuilding and support for care facilities and clinics.

“Our CSI response will focus mainly be on rural, outlying and less developed areas that now face increased vulnerability. We will be working with our established NGO partners to ensure reach and impact,” Nchocho added.


Article sourced from the IDC website

Tuesday, March 9, 2021

South Africa records the largest growth contraction since World War II (75 Years)

Stats SA’s Gross domestic product (GDP) release for the fourth quarter of 2020 (October–December) concludes the series for the year, providing a sobering overview of 2020.
 
Manufacturing and trade help lift growth in the fourth quarter
The economy grew by 1,5% in the fourth quarter, giving an annualised1 growth rate of 6,3%. This follows the revised 13,7% (annualised: 67,3%) rise in economic activity recorded in the third quarter.
Eight of the ten industries made positive gains in the fourth quarter, most notably manufacturing (bolstered by increased production in food, beverages and motor vehicles) and trade (driven by retail, motor trade, catering and accommodation). Mining and finance, real estate and business services were the two industries that recorded a decline in economic activity.
 
The economy slumped by 7,0% in 2020
The positive growth recorded in the third and fourth quarters was not enough to offset the devastating impact of COVID-19 in the second quarter when lockdown restrictions were at their most stringent. Economic activity for the entire year decreased by 7,0% in 2020 compared with 2019.
If we explore the historical data, this is the biggest annual fall in economic activity the country has seen since at least 1946.2
To provide some perspective, the second biggest fall was recorded in 1992 when the economy contracted by 2,1%, as illustrated in the chart below. At that time, the country was struggling through a two-year-long recession, mainly the result of a global economic downturn. During the 2008/09 global financial crisis, the economy shrank by 1,5% in 2009.

In real terms, if we adjust the figures to take account of inflation, the economy is now at about the same size as it was in 2012 (constant 2010 prices).
 
We have a smaller GDP with a larger population
What does this mean for the wellbeing of everyone in the country? This is a complex question to answer, but a rough, quick measure is available in the form of GDP per capita. This represents the size of South Africa’s economy divided by the number of people who live in the country. It is a broad measure often used to make comparisons between countries regarding average living standards.
Again adjusting for inflation, GDP per capita peaked in 2014 and has since been declining. This means that economic growth has been struggling to keep up with population growth. GDP per capita decreased in 2020 to a level last seen in 2005.

Agriculture flourished in 2020
Despite the impact of the pandemic on economic growth, there was one shining star in 2020. Agriculture escaped the effects of the pandemic relatively unscathed, expanding production by 13,1% in 2020. Government also grew marginally in the year, up by 0,7%.

All other industries were pummelled. The construction industry, already in deep trouble before the pandemic, contracted by 20,3%. This marks the industry’s fourth consecutive year of economic decline.
As reported in our article covering the GDP results for the second quarter3, a decline in air travel contributed to the contraction in the transport and communication industry. Rail and road freight operators also found themselves hamstrung by restrictions placed on the production and movement of various goods during the second quarter.
Despite a strong showing in the fourth quarter, manufacturing production was down for the entire year, falling by 11,6%. This was mostly due to work stoppages in the second quarter and a fall in the demand for steel, amongst other reasons.

Friday, February 12, 2021

Copy of HE President Cyril Ramaphosa SONA on 2021/02/11

Speaker of the National Assembly, Ms Thandi Modise,
Chairperson of the National Council of Provinces, Mr Amos Masondo,
Deputy President David Mabuza,
Former President Thabo Mbeki and Mrs Mbeki,
Former Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka,
Former Deputy President Baleka Mbete,
Chief Justice Mogoeng Mogoeng and esteemed members of the judiciary,
Ministers and Deputy Ministers,
Honourable Members of the National Assembly,
Honourable Members of the National Council of Provinces,
Dean of the European Region, representing the Diplomatic Corps, HE Mr Beka Dvali,
Distinguished Guests,
Fellow South Africans,
On this day, 31 years ago, President Nelson Mandela walked out of the gates of Victor Verster prison a free person, a living embodiment of the resilience and courage of the South African people.
For nearly 40 million years an extraordinary ecosystem has existed here at the southernmost tip of our continent.
The fynbos biome, which stretches across the Cape, has among the most distinctive features of any plants found on earth.
It can adapt to dry, hot summers and cold rainy winters. It is wondrous in its diversity.
Our national flower the Protea is a species of fynbos.
When I opened the third National Investment Conference last year I spoke of the Protea's unique properties that in so many ways resemble our national character.
What is most unique and special about fynbos is that to be sustainable and survive, it needs fire.
At least once every twenty years, fynbos must burn at extremely high temperatures to allow the ecosystem to be rejuvenated and grow afresh.
Throughout the summer, the burned foliage lies desolate. But when the autumn rains return, the seeds germinate, and its life cycle begins all over again.
The mountains bloom with new life as plants which once seemed lost grow back even stronger than before.
We, the people of South Africa, have over the past year experienced a terrible hardship.
Like a wildfire that sweeps across the mountainous ranges where the fynbos grows, a deadly pandemic has swept across the world, leaving devastation in its path.
And yet, like the hardy fynbos of our native land, we too have proven to be resilient in many ways.
For three centuries we were victims of oppression, dispossession and injustice.
And for three centuries we resisted.
The flames of injustice may have scarred us, but they did not consume us.
The rains of democracy brought rejuvenation and the birth of a new nation.
We have risen time and time again from the depths of darkness to herald a new day.
As we look on the grave damage that this disease has caused, we know that like the fynbos, like all those who have walked this land before us, we will rise again.
Nearly a year has passed since South Africa saw its first case of the novel coronavirus, Covid-19.
Since then, nearly one-and-a-half million people in our country are known to have been infected by the virus.
More than 45 000 people are known to have died.
Beyond these statistics lies a human story of tragedy and pain.
There is no family, no community, and no place of work that has not lost someone they knew, worked with, and loved.
It is also a story of courage and resilience.
The resilience of the hospital worker who – day after day, night after night – goes to work to save lives, knowing that they themselves are at risk of infection.
It is a wonderful account of the courage of the police officer, the soldier, the essential worker, the carer and all those on the frontline who have kept our country safe, our people fed and our economy going.
It is a story of solidarity and compassion.
Of a nation that has stood together to confront COVID-19 in ways not seen since the early days of our democracy.
More than anything else, this crisis has revealed the true character of our remarkable nation.
It has revealed a spirit of the people who refused to be defeated.
It is this South African spirit that must drive our resolve to build a new and more equal economy and a better, more just society.
The year ahead must be a time for change, for progress and for rebirth.
It must be a year in which we rise.
This is no ordinary year, and this is no ordinary State of the Nation Address.
I will therefore focus this evening on the foremost, overriding priorities of 2021.
First, we must defeat the coronavirus pandemic.
Second, we must accelerate our economic recovery.
Third, we must implement economic reforms to create sustainable jobs and drive inclusive growth.
And finally, we must fight corruption and strengthen the state.
In the coming weeks, we will address the other important elements of government’s programme for the year.
Fundamental to our nation’s recovery is an unrelenting and comprehensive response to overcome the coronavirus.
South Africa has just emerged from the second wave of infections since COVID-19 arrived on our shores in March last year.
Driven by a new variant of the virus, this second wave was more severe and cost many more lives than the first wave.
Nevertheless, the human cost could have been far greater.
Had we not moved quickly to restrict movement and activity, had we not prepared our health facilities, had South Africans not observed the basic health protocols, the devastation caused by this virus could have been far worse.
This year, we must do everything in our means to contain and overcome this pandemic.
This means intensifying our prevention efforts and strengthening our health system.
It also means that we must undertake a massive vaccination programme to save lives and dramatically reduce infections across the population.
Earlier this week, we were informed that one of the vaccines that we had procured, the AstraZeneca vaccine offers minimal protection from mild to moderate infection by the new variant known as 501Y.v2.
This is according to early findings of a study by our scientists and researchers.
We applaud these scientists for leading this research and providing new evidence that is vital for guiding our response.
Since this variant is now the dominant variant in our country, these findings have significant implications for the pace, design and sequencing of our vaccine programme.
While it should not delay the start of the vaccination programme by much, it will affect the choice of vaccines and the manner of their deployment.
The first phase of our vaccination programme, which is targeted at health and other frontline workers, will now use the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which has been shown to be effective against the 501Y.V2 variant.
We have secured 9 million doses of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine.
The first batch, of 80,000 doses, will arrive in the country next week.
Further consignments will arrive over the next four weeks, totalling 500,000 Johnson & Johnson vaccines.
All provinces have roll-out plans in place as the first vaccines come through.
I wish to thank all provinces for their level of preparedness for this massive undertaking that we are about to embark upon.
In addition, we have secured 12 million vaccine doses from the global COVAX facility.
This will be complemented by other vaccines that are available to South Africa through the AU’s African Vaccine Acquisition Task Team facility as well.
Pfizer has committed 20 million vaccine doses commencing with deliveries at the end of the first quarter.
We are continuing our engagements with all the vaccine manufacturers to ensure that we secure sufficient quantities of vaccines that are suitable to our conditions.
The health and safety of our people remains our paramount concern.
All medication imported into the country is monitored, evaluated, investigated, inspected and registered by the South African Health Products Regulatory Authority.
We will continue to use the science-driven approach that has served us well since the earliest days of the pandemic.
The success of the vaccination programme will rely on active collaboration between all sectors of society.
We are greatly encouraged by the active involvement of business, labour, the health industry and medical schemes in particular in preparing for this mass vaccination drive.
As we have overcome before, we will overcome again and rise.
But it is not just this disease that we must defeat.
We must overcome poverty and hunger, joblessness and inequality.
We must overcome a legacy of exclusion and dispossession that continues to impoverish our people, and which this pandemic has severely worsened.
When I delivered the State of the Nation Address in this House last year, none of us could have imagined how – within a matter of weeks – our country and our world would have changed so dramatically.
Our plans had to be adapted in response to a global emergency.
Budgets had to be reprioritised and many programmes had to be deferred.
Over the past year, South Africa has experienced a sharp decline in growth and a significant increase in unemployment.
Poverty is on the rise. Inequality is deepening.
In the third quarter of 2020, our economy was 6% percent smaller than it was in the last quarter of 2019.
There were 1.7 million fewer people employed in the third quarter of 2020 than there were in the first quarter, before the pandemic struck.
Our unemployment rate now stands at a staggering 30.8%.
As a result of the relief measures that we implemented and the phased reopening of the economy, we expect to see a strong recovery in employment by the end of 2020.
As we worked to contain the spread of the virus, we also had to take extraordinary measures to support ordinary South Africans, assist businesses in distress and protect people’s livelihoods.
The social and economic relief package that we introduced in April last year is the largest intervention of its kind in our history.
It identified measures worth a total of R500 billion – or about 10% of our GDP – to provide cash directly to the poorest households, to provide wage support to workers and to provide various forms of relief to struggling businesses.
A total of 18 million people, or close to one-third of the population, received additional grant payments through these relief measures.
It is estimated that this grant lifted more than 5 million people above the food poverty line, helping to alleviate hunger in a moment of great crisis.
To date, more than R57 billion in wage support has been paid to over 4.5 million workers through the Special UIF TERS scheme.
More than R1.3 billion has been provided in support mainly for small- and medium-sized businesses.
In addition, over R70 billion in tax relief was extended to businesses in distress.
Around R18.9 billion in loans have been approved for 13,000 businesses through the loan guarantee scheme.
Fellow South Africans,
It is nearly four months since I stood here before a Joint Sitting of this Parliament to present to the nation the Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan.
This evening, we stand here not to make promises but to report on progress in the implementation of the recovery plan and the priority actions we must now take to restore growth and create jobs.
Since the launch of the plan, we have focused on four priority interventions:
-a massive rollout of infrastructure throughout the country,
-a massive increase in local production,
-an employment stimulus to create jobs and support livelihoods,
-the rapid expansion of our energy generation capacity.
We announced that we would be embarking on a massive rollout of infrastructure throughout the country.
We knew that to achieve this objective we would need to steadily rebuild technical skills within government to prepare and manage large infrastructure projects.
We have now developed an infrastructure investment project pipeline worth R340 billion in network industries such as energy, water, transport and telecommunications.
Construction has started and progress is being made on a number of projects.
Since the announcement of the Reconstruction and Recovery Plan, we have launched two major human settlements projects that will provide homes to almost 68,000 households in the Gauteng province.
Similar human settlements projects are planned in other provinces.
Two years ago I spoke about the dream of building new cities that will enable us to make a break with apartheid’s spatial development.
New post-apartheid cities are being conceptualised in a number of places in our country.
The Lanseria Smart City, the first new city to be built in a democratic South Africa, is now a reality in the making.
The draft masterplan for this smart city – which will become home to between 350,000 to 500,000 people within the next decade – was completed in November 2020 and is now out for public comment.
Progress is being made on several major water infrastructure projects.
These include Phase 2A of the Mokolo and Crocodile River project, and the uMkhomazi Water Project.
The Infrastructure Investment Plan identifies roads projects worth R19 billion covering the spine of the South African road network.
Work is underway to finalise project finance structuring for these projects.
Resources have been committed from the fiscus to support the construction and rehabilitation of the major N1, N2, and N3 highways.
These infrastructure projects will lead to the revival of the construction industry and the creation of much-needed jobs.
The R100 billion Infrastructure Fund is now in full operation.
This Fund will blend resources from the fiscus with financing from the private sector and development institutions.
Its approved project pipeline for 2021 is varied and includes the Student Housing Infrastructure Programme, which aims to provide 300,000 student beds.
Another approved project is SA Connect, a programme to roll out broadband to schools, hospitals, police stations and other government facilities.
The second priority intervention of the Recovery Plan is to support a massive increase in local production and to make South African exports globally competitive.
This will encourage greater investment by the private sector in productive activity.
Key to this plan is a renewed commitment from government, business and organised labour to buy local.
This commitment should lead to increased local production, which will lead to the revival of our manufacturing industry.
All social partners who participated in the development of the Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan as part of our social compact have agreed to work together to reduce our reliance on imports by 20% over the next five years.
They have identified 42 products – ranging from edible oils to furniture, fruit concentrates, personal protective equipment, steel products and green economy inputs – that can be sourced locally.
If we achieve our target, we will significantly expand our productive economy, potentially returning more than R200 billion to the country’s annual output.
Last year, we undertook to create a larger market for small businesses and designate 1,000 locally produced products that must be procured from SMMEs.
As the COVID-19 pandemic forced the closure of global value chains, we have been able to speed up this initiative as the local supply chains became open for locally manufactured products.
To this end, Cabinet approved the SMME Focused Localisation Policy Framework which identified the 1,000 products.
Furthermore, the departments of Small Business Development and Trade, Industry and Competition are supporting SMMEs to access larger domestic and international markets.
These efforts are supported by robust manufacturing support programmes.
In the State of the Nation Address last year, I said that our vision for industrialisation is underpinned by sector master plans to rejuvenate and grow key industries.
Four master plans that have been completed and signed to date – which are part of the social compact between labour, business, government and communities – have already had an impact in their respective industries.
Through the implementation of the poultry master plan, the industry has invested R800 million to upgrade production.
South Africa now produces an additional one million chickens every week.
The sugar master plan was signed during the lockdown, with a commitment from large users of sugar to procure at least 80% of their sugar needs from local growers.
Through the implementation of the plan, last year saw a rise in local production and a decline in imported sugar, creating stability for an industry which employs some 85,000 workers.
Support for black small-scale farmers is being stepped up, with a large beverage producer committing to expand their procurement sharply.
Since the signing of the clothing, textile, footwear and leather masterplan in November 2019, the industry has invested more than half a billion rand to expand local manufacturing facilities, including SMMEs.
We have worked closely with the auto sector to help it weather the pandemic.
By the end of the year, the sector had recovered around 70% of its normal annual production, in difficult circumstances.
Last week, the Ford Motor Company announced a R16 billion investment to expand their manufacturing facility in Tshwane for the next generation Ford Ranger bakkie.
This investment will support the growth of around 12 small and medium enterprises in automotive component manufacturing.
Nearly half of the procurement spend on construction of the bulk earthworks and top structure at the Tshwane Special Economic Zone during this phase is expected to be allocated for SMMEs, an amount equal to R1.7 billion in procurement opportunities.
Toyota has invested in their KwaZulu-Natal facility to start production of the first generation of hybrid electric vehicles to come off a South African assembly line.
This follows investment announcements by Nissan, Mercedes Benz and Isuzu in expanded production facilities, all of which cement South Africa’s position as a global player in auto manufacturing.
This year, our focus will be on getting the industry back to full production, implementing the Black Industrialist Fund and working on a new platform for expanded auto trade with the rest of the continent.
This will be part of our concerted effort to boost the manufacturing sector.
This year, we will begin to harness the opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area, which came into operation on the 1st of January following the adoption of the Johannesburg Declaration by the African Union.
The AfCFTA provides a platform for the South African businesses to expand into markets across the continent, and for South Africa to position itself as a gateway to the continent.
To address the deep inequalities in our society, we must accelerate the implementation of broad-based black economic empowerment policies on ownership, control and management of the economy.
Last year, government agreed to landmark deals with companies that will advance black economic empowerment by transferring ownership to their workers.
In November last year, we held our third South Africa Investment Conference to review the implementation of previous commitments and to generate new investment into our economy.
Even under difficult economic circumstances, the Investment Conference managed to raise some R108 billion in additional investment commitments.
Together with investment confirmed from the two previous investment conferences, we have now received R773 billion in investment commitments towards our 5-year target of R1.2 trillion.
Firms have reported that some R183 billion of these investments has already flowed into projects that benefit the South African economy.
This shows that our country is still an attractive investment destination for both local and offshore companies.
We have worked to facilitate investment by increasing the ease of doing business, including by making it easier to start a business.
In the past year, more than 125,000 new companies have been registered through the BizPortal platform, completing their registration in just a matter of hours from the comfort of their homes or offices.
We are making it easier for business to do business.
Our third priority intervention is an employment stimulus to create jobs and support livelihoods.
The largest numbers of jobs will be created by the private sector in a number of industries as the economy recovers.
We continue to work in a social compact with the private sector to create a more conducive environment for them to be able to create jobs.
Our compact with the private sector is underpinned by a clear commitment to grow our economy and to create jobs.
However, the public sector has a responsibility to stimulate job creation both through its policies and through direct job creation opportunities.
The Presidential Employment Stimulus is one of the most significant expansions of public and social employment in South Africa’s history.
By the end of January 2021, over 430,000 opportunities have already been supported through the stimulus.
A further 180,000 opportunities are currently in the recruitment process.
These opportunities are in areas like education, arts and culture, global business services, early childhood development, and small-scale and subsistence farming.
It involves environmental programmes such as the clearing of alien trees, wetland rehabilitation, fire prevention and cleaning and greening across all municipalities.
These programmes are about real lives and real livelihoods.
Nearly half a million people are now receiving an income, developing new skills and contributing to their community and the country’s economy.
We will continue to support employment for as long as it is necessary while the labour market recovers, even as we work to promote stronger and more resilient growth in the private sector.
In the State of the Nation last year, in response to the huge challenge our country faces of youth unemployment, I announced that the National Youth Development Agency and the Department of Small Business Development would provide grant funding and business support to 1,000 young entrepreneurs within 100 days.
While the programme had to be put on hold due to the coronavirus restrictions, it nevertheless managed to reach its target of 1,000 businesses by International Youth Day on 12 August 2020.
This provides a firm foundation for our efforts to support 15,000 start-ups by 2024.
Last year, we said we would establish a national Pathway Management Network to provide support and opportunities to young people across the country.
I want to encourage every young South African to join the more than 1.2 million people who are already in the network, and take their next steps to a better future.
Of the many hardships our people had to experience last year, schooling disruption placed a huge burden on learners, teachers and families.
Despite this they persevered.
It is our priority for this year to regain lost time and improve educational outcomes, from the early years through to high school and post-school education and training.
The fourth priority intervention of the Recovery Plan is to rapidly expand energy generation capacity.
Restoring Eskom to operational and financial health and accelerating its restructuring process is central to this objective.
Eskom has been restructured into three separate entities for generation, transmission and distribution.
This will lay the foundations for an efficient, modern and competitive energy system.
Eskom is making substantial progress with its intensive maintenance and operational excellence programmes to improve the reliability of its coal fleet.
We are working closely with Eskom on proposals to improve its financial position, manage its debt and reduce its dependence on the fiscus.
This requires a review of the tariff path to ensure that it reflects all reasonable costs and measures to resolve the problem of municipal debt.
In December 2020, government and its social partners signed the historic Eskom Social Compact, which outlines the necessary actions we must take, collectively and as individual constituencies, to meet the country’s energy needs now and into the future.
Over the last year, we have taken action to urgently and substantially increase generation capacity in addition to what Eskom generates:
-The Department of Mineral Resources and Energy will soon be announcing the successful bids for 2,000 megawatts of emergency power.
-The necessary regulations have been amended and the requirements clarified for municipalities to buy power from independent power producers. Systems are being put in place to support qualifying municipalities.
-Government will soon be initiating the procurement of an additional 11,800 megawatts of power from renewable energy, natural gas, battery storage and coal in line with the Integrated Resource Plan 2019.
Despite this work, Eskom estimates that, without additional capacity, there will be an electricity supply shortfall of between 4,000 and 6,000 megawatts over the next 5 years, as old coal-fired power stations reach their end of life.
As part of the measures to address this shortfall, we will in the coming weeks issue a request for proposals for 2,600 megawatts from wind and solar energy as part of Bid Window 5.
This will be followed by another bid window in August 2021.
Recent analysis suggests that easing the licensing requirements for new embedded generation projects could unlock up to 5,000 megawatts of additional capacity and help to ease the impact of load shedding.
We will therefore amend Schedule 2 of the Electricity Regulation Act within the next three months to increase the licensing threshold for embedded generation.
This will include consultation among key stakeholders on the level at which the new threshold should be set and the finalisation of the necessary enabling frameworks.
Eskom has already started work to expedite its commercial and technical processes to allow this additional capacity onto the grid without undue delay.
As we mobilise all of the resources at our disposal to support economic recovery, we cannot lose sight of the threat that climate change poses to our environmental health, socio-economic development and economic growth.
We are therefore working to fulfil our commitments under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and its Paris Agreement which include the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.
Eskom, our largest greenhouse gas emitter, has committed in principle to net zero emission by 2050 and to increase its renewable capacity.
Eskom will be looking to partner with investors to repurpose and repower part of its coal fleet.
This will be done in a way that stimulate investment, local economic activity and local manufacturing, as part of a just transition.
Our work on climate change will be guided by the Presidential Coordinating Commission on Climate Change, which is meeting for the first time this month.
The Commission will work on a plan for a just transition to a low-carbon economy and climate resilient society.
We will not achieve higher rates of growth and employment if we do not implement structural economic reforms.
These reforms are necessary to reduce costs and barriers to entry, increase competition, stimulate new investment and create space for new entrants in the market.
This work is being driven through Operation Vulindlela, which involves a team in National Treasury and the President’s office.
Operation Vulindlela is focusing on reforms in the electricity, water, telecommunications and transport sectors, as well as reforms to our visa and immigration regime.
The completion of digital migration is vital to our ability to effectively harness the enormous opportunities presented by technological change.
After many delays, we will begin the phased switch-off of our analogue TV transmitters from next month.
It is anticipated that this process, which will be done province-by-province, will be completed by the end of March 2022.
The process for the licensing of high demand spectrum is at an advanced stage.
We hope that the ongoing litigation on the licensing matter will provide legal certainty and will not unduly delay the spectrum auction process.
In the water sector, we are working through Operation Vulindlela to ensure that water license applications are finalised within the revised timeframe of 90 days; and to revive the Green Drop and Blue Drop programmes to strengthen water quality monitoring.
We will finalise and implement the revised raw water pricing strategy, and accelerate the establishment of a national Water Resources Infrastructure Agency.
Our ability to compete in global markets depends on the efficiency of our ports and rail network.
We are repositioning Durban as a hub port for the southern hemisphere and developing Ngqura as the container terminal of choice.
The rail corridor from Gauteng is being extended to enable the export of vehicles through Port Elizabeth.
These are crucial steps to move freight from road to rail and increase the competitiveness of the rail system.
Work is underway with the relevant departments to reform our visa and immigration regime to attract skills and grow the tourism sector.
As international travel starts to recover in the wake of COVID-19, we will undertake a full roll-out of eVisas to visitors from China, India, Nigeria, Kenya and 10 other countries.
The revised list of critical skills will be published for public comment by the Department of Home Affairs within one week to ensure that the final version reflects the skills needed by the economy.
The momentum that Operation Vulindlela has already built, and the support that it has received across government, shows that we are serious about reform.
We will continue to work relentlessly and without pause to create a more modern, efficient and competitive economy that is more open to all South Africans.
To support our reform process, the Presidential State Owned Enterprises Council has outlined a clear set of reforms that will enable these vital public companies to fulfil their mandate for growth and development.
Overarching legislation for state-owned companies will be tabled in Cabinet this financial year and Parliament in the next the financial year.
A centralised SOE model is being implemented this financial year, which will ensure a standardised governance, financial management and operational performance framework for all SOEs.
The mandates of all SOEs are being re-evaluated to ensure that they are responsive to the country’s needs and the implementation of the National Development Plan.
In the midst of the economic damage caused by COVID-19, South Africa’s agricultural sector has performed remarkably well.
In 2020, we became the world’s second-largest exporter of citrus, with strong export growth in wine, maize, nuts, deciduous fruit and sugar cane.
The favourable weather conditions in 2020 and the beginning of 2021 mean that agriculture is likely to grow in the near term.
This provides an opportunity for further public-private partnership in agriculture to promote transformation and ensure sustainable growth.
It is an opportunity to accelerate land redistribution through a variety of instruments such as land restitution, expropriation of land in order to boost agricultural output.
To date, government has redistributed over 5 million hectares of land, totalling around 5,500 farms, to more than 300,000 beneficiaries.
This is in addition to the land restitution process, which has benefited over two million land claimants and resulted in the transfer of around 2.7 million hectares.
We are also pursuing programmes to assist smallholder and emerging farmers with market access, to develop skills across the entire agricultural value chain and increase the number of commercial black farmers.
During the course of the next financial year, we will establish a Land and Agrarian Reform Agency to fast-track land reform.
The public service is at the coalface of government, and lack of professionalism doesn’t just impact service delivery; it also dents public confidence.
Advancing honesty, ethics and integrity in the public service is critical if we are to build a capable state.
Through the National School of Government, we continue to roll out courses and training programmes for government officials from entry level to senior management and the Executive.
In October last year, I signed off on Ministerial Performance Agreements with all Ministers, which have now been published online.
This will enhance accountability and focused performance by members of the executive.
We remain on course to build a capable and professional civil service that delivers on its mandate and is accountable to the South African people.
We are proceeding with our efforts to strengthen the local government infrastructure and accelerate service delivery through the District Development Model.
The Model brings all three spheres of government to focus on key priorities and implementation of critical high impact projects.
Working with both public and private sector partners, government is implementing a range of measures to support municipalities to address inadequate and inconsistent service delivery in areas such water provision, infrastructure build and maintenance.
We are focusing on the appointment of properly qualified officials at a local level to ensure effective management and provision of services.
As we prepare for local government elections, which are due take place this year, we will need to adjust to the conditions forced upon us by COVID so that we can ensure that the people of this country can determine who represents them at this crucial level of government.
Fellow South Africans,
Corruption is one of the greatest impediments to the country’s growth and development.
The revelations from the Zondo Commission of Inquiry lay bare the extent of state capture and related corruption.
Testimony at the Commission has shown how the criminal justice system was compromised and weakened.
It is therefore vital that we sustain the momentum of the rebuilding effort that we began three years ago.
There has been great progress in turning around law enforcement bodies.
Critical leadership positions have been filled with capable, experienced and trustworthy professionals.
There is improved cooperation and sharing of resources between the respective law enforcement agencies, enabling a more integrated approach to investigations and prosecutions.
We have started implementation of the National Anti-Corruption Strategy, which lays the basis for a comprehensive and integrated society-wide response to corruption.
We will shortly be appointing the members of the National Anti-Corruption Advisory Council, which is a multi-sectoral body that will oversee the initial implementation of the strategy and the establishment of an independent statutory anti-corruption body that reports to Parliament.
When reports started to surface last year about possible fraud and corruption in the procurement of COVID-related goods and services, we acted decisively to put a stop to these practices, to investigate all allegations and to act against those responsible.
We established a fusion centre, which brings together key law enforcement agencies to share information and resources.
The Fusion Centre has brought many cases to trial and preserved or recovered millions of rands in public funds.
The Special Investigating Unit was authorised to investigate allegations of unlawful conduct with respect to COVID procurement by all state bodies during the National State of Disaster.
As it reported last week, the SIU has finalised investigations into 164 contracts with a total value of R3.5 billion.
In a significant advance for transparency and accountability, the Political Party Funding Act will come into operation on the 1st of April this year.
This will regulate public and private funding of political parties. Among other things, it requires the disclosure of donations to parties and establishes two funds that will enable represented political parties to undertake their programmes.
Crime and violence continues to undermine people’s sense of safety and security.
Tackling crime is central to the success of our recovery.
Crimes like cable theft, railway infrastructure vandalism, land invasions, construction site disruptions and attacks on truck drivers hamper economic activity and discourage investment.
We have taken steps and will continue to stop these crimes and deal with those responsible in terms of the law.
Task teams have been set up in a number of provinces to deal with extortion and violence on sites of economic activity.
We are also fast-tracking the implementation and capacitation of the Border Management Agency to curb illegal immigration and cross-border crime.
Ending gender-based violence is imperative if we lay claim to being a society rooted in equality and non-sexism.
When I launched the National Strategic Plan on Gender-Based Violence in April last year I made a promise to the women and children of this country that we were going to strengthen the criminal justice system to prevent them being traumatised again, and to ensure that perpetrators face justice.
To give effect to this, three key pieces of legislation were introduced in Parliament last year to make the criminal justice system more effective in combatting gender-based violence.
To ensure that perpetrators are brought to book, we are making progress in reducing the backlog of gender-based violence cases.
We continue to provide care and support to survivors of gender-based violence.
In the State of the Nation Address last year, I said that we would prioritise the economic empowerment of women.
Last year, Cabinet approved a policy that 40% of public procurement should go to women-owned businesses.
Several departments have started implementing this policy and are making progress.
Last week we also launched a groundbreaking private sector-led GBVF Response Fund.
Several South African companies and global philanthropies made pledges to the value of R128 million.
Over the next three years, government will allocate approximately R12 billion to implement the various components of the National Strategic Plan.
Gender-based violence will only end when everyone takes responsibility for doing so in their homes, in their communities, in their workplaces, in their places of worship and in their schools.
Equally we need to give attention to issues affecting children including improving school-readiness, ECD planning and funding, protection against preventable diseases, policy reform around child welfare and reducing violence against children.
In the year ahead we are also going to forge ahead with efforts to provide greater opportunities for persons with disabilities to participate in the economy and in society in general.
As we rebuild our economy in the midst of a pandemic, it is necessary that we continue – within our means – to provide support to those businesses and individuals that continue to be most affected.
Businesses in several sectors are still struggling and many families continue to suffer as the job market slowly recovers.
Over the last few months, we have had ongoing discussions with our social partners in business and labour, who proposed an extension of some of the social and economic support.
We have therefore decided to extend the period for the Special COVID-19 Grant of R350 by a further three months.
This has proven to be an effective and efficient short-term measure to reduce the immediate impact on the livelihoods of poor South Africans.
We have also decided to extend the Covid-19 TERS benefit until 15 March 2021 only for those sectors that have not been able to operate.
The conditions of this extension and the sectors to be included will be announced after consultations with social partners at NEDLAC.
The National Treasury will work with its partners and stakeholders on improvements to the loan guarantee scheme so that it better addresses the realities of SMMEs and other businesses as they strive to recover.
We will work with our social partners to ensure that these and other interventions provide the relief to those who most need it.
Fellow South Africans,
Just as a harsh fire gives new life to our country’s fynbos, this crisis is an opportunity to build a different, better South Africa.
Rebuilding our country requires a common effort.
It requires that every South African takes responsibility and plays their part.
Let us work together as government, as business, as labour and as all of society to clear away the rubble and lay a new foundation.
Above all, let us return this country to the values upon which it was founded.
On the day of his release, 31 years ago, Madiba gave his first public address here in Cape Town, where he reminded South Africans there were difficult days ahead, and that the battle was far from won.
Madiba said:
“Now is the time to intensify the struggle on all fronts.”
“To relax our efforts now would be a mistake which generations to come will not be able to forgive.”
In counting the great cost to our society over the past year, we may be tempted to lose faith.
But we can get through this. Because we are a nation of heroes.
I am referring not to the glorious lineage of struggle icons, but to the everyday heroes that walk among us, who work hard every day to put food on the table, to keep the company running, and to give support, help and care to our people.
It is your resilience that will help this country recover.
In addition to the many challenges that beset our people we have heard that his Majesty King Goodwill Zwelithini has not been well in recent days.
I wish to convey my wishes for the speedy recovery of His Majesty King Goodwill Zwelithini ka Bhekuzulu.
Our thoughts and prayers are with the Royal Household and the Zulu nation at this time.
It is our collective wish that Isilo Samabandla Wonke is soon restored to good health.
As we prepare for the difficult path ahead, we can draw strength From Maya Angelou’s great poem ‘I rise’.
She writes:
Out of the huts of history’s shame
I rise
Up from a past that’s rooted in pain
I rise
I’m a black ocean, leaping and wide,
Welling and swelling I bear in the tide.
Leaving behind nights of terror and fear
I rise
Into a daybreak that’s wondrously clear
I rise
Bringing the gifts that my ancestors gave,
I am the dream and the hope of the slave.
I rise I rise I rise.
People of South Africa, it is your country that calls on you to rise.
Let us march forward together to equality, to dignity and to recovery.
May God bless South Africa and protect her sons and daughters.
I thank you.

Wednesday, December 2, 2020

ETFs VS ETNs

Exchange Traded Funds VS Exchange Traded Notes

The difference between the two instruments that confuses many as they both track the performance of a group or basket of shares, Bonds or Commodities. So, exchange traded funds or ETF as widely known, is an listed investment instruments that track the performance of a basket of shares, bonds or commodities while exchange traded notes are debt instruments that track(only when they are sold or bought or at maturity) the performance of interest rate, commodity prices, basket shares, bonds or currency. 


Exchange Traded Funds


This involves the process of collection securities-such as stocks-that often tracks an underlying asset that they hold or index. Like stock, ETF is traded on exchange and its price fluctuate throughout the day. This is considered to be the most preferable and popular choice for diversification as there are multiple assets within the ETF. They provide investor with lower average costs since it would more expensive for investor to put his funds in the stocks held in ETF portfolio individually and create a portfolio by investing funds assets that have already been indexed e.g ETFSA spreading Mr Jones investment between All Share Top40. SA government bonds, Russell 2000 Small Cap Index, this means you invested in different local stock, local risk free instrument and different international stocks. Investors are not shareholders but rather ETF holders. Like stocks, ETF holders receive dividends from the companies that pay dividends and are entitled to the proportion of the companies’ profits. In case of liquidation, the investors may get residual value.


Important features

Exposure to a variety of underlying instruments

Can be traded quickly at a low cost

In SA, ETFs are regulated by JSE & FSCA

Pay dividends, profits or residual value in case of liquidation

Exempt from securities transfer tax

Price fluctuations


Exchange Traded Notes



This is the lending version of the ETFs, instead of investing your funds, investors lends money to the issuer of the ETN, usually a bank, and then receives a return based on the movements in a specific benchmark. Benchmarks can be based on interests rate, commodity price, basket of shares, bonds or currency hence it is just ETF with specific features of a debt instruments. It works like bonds, it can be held to maturity or sold or bought at will because imagine if the underwriter was to go bankrupt, then investor suffers a risk of complete default. ETNs only pay investors once the fund matures based upon the price of assets or index. There Is no pitfall of tracking error because the fund in fact isn’t actively tracking. As an economic theory, the market forces will cause the fund to track the underlying instrument.


Important Features


More cost-effective

Highly liquid

Daily market fluctuation exposure

Pays the amount on the assets or index at maturity or when sold or bought.


Most investors choose to put their funds in ETFs because they are easy to discern hence, they are exponentially bigger in collective volume than ETNs. ETNs require an extended length when conducting a research because of the degree of risks attached to them. Example. Disregarding the credit risks aligned with certain assets especially credit ratings will provide you with almost no insight into whether the as an investor I will be paid at maturity or not because investor needs to know about the probability of a default attached to a security. One should never undermine the efficiency of ETNs because they have favorable tax treatment for long-term investors. With ETFs, the fund may underperform the index due to expenses that may bring a certain degree of differential or divergence from the index they track. 


The advise is simple, as an investment phenomena put your money on what you understand.   

Tuesday, December 1, 2020

Looking at inflation rate released by STATSSA

Earlier last week STATSSA announced that the Headline CPI went up to 3.7% hitting the highest record since 4.1% penned in March this year. The monthly increase in October was 0,3%, edging up from 0,2% recorded in both September and August.


The major contributors were categories such as food and non alcoholic beverages which increased by 1.3% on basis and  annual surge of 5.4% all in October, this is the largest annual upsurge since September 2017. 


Let’s now examine how all categories have been pricing their products and services both in October and previous 12 months


Pensioners


Prices for pensioners increased by 0.3% monthly which brought upon 3.4% annual increase in October.


Food and non alcoholic beverages


Prices of Food saw a monthly surge of 1.4% and annual rise of 5.4%. The major contributors to this surge came from Oil & fats (2.8%) and (10.0%) annual, Fruit (2.8%) and (13.5%) annual and vegetables(3.5%).


Prices for Non alcohol beverages went up by 1.2% monthly and 3.4% annually. The change was induced by increases of (1.5%, monthly & 6.3% annually) in hot beverages with main driver behind this upsurge prices being black tea. Black tea prices jumped by 3,9% in October compared with September, resulting in an annual rise of 10,4%. and (1.2%, monthly & 1.9%, annually) in cold beverages  


Alcoholic beverages and tobacco


Bare in mind the change reflected in these prices disregards activities occurring in the informal market thus, the overcharging of alcohol & tobacco on the informal trade market that customers quarrelled about aren’t accounted for.


The prices remained flat for the month of October but annual reading saw 2.7% rise. Wine and beer are the only items to have recorded monthly increases both at 0.1% and annual rise of 5.0% and 1.4%, respectively. The price of spirit fell by 0.5% monthly and rose by 3.2% annually. Tobacco did rise by 1.2% monthly and jumped by 7.5%.


Clothing and footwear


Clothing and footwear had slight increases of 0.1% both monthly and annually. Prices of clothes remained stagnant for a month of October but rose by 0.2% on an annual basis. Footwear rose by 0.2% monthly but fell by 0.1% annually.


Housing and utilities


Monthly figures saw no change in prices but increased of 2.9% annually. Monthly prices for rentals for housing, owners’ equivalent rent and water and other services remained constant but had annual increases of 1.4%(owners’ equivalent rent), 1.3%(rentals for housing) and 6.1%( water and other services). Surprisingly, Electricity and other fuels descended by 0.1% monthly before hitting 5.9% annual increase.


Households contents and services


Monthly and annual prices rose by 0.1% and 1.7%, respectively. Both appliances, tableware and equipment and supplies and services had slight increases and only furnishings, floor covering & textiles recorded decreases(-0.1% monthly and 2.0% annually)


Health


The costs for healthcare services rose by 0.2% monthly and 4.1% annually driven by sharp rises of 0.4% monthly and 2.9% annual medical products. Medical services remained unchanged in October before chalking down annual increase of 5.0%


Transport


Transport services shed 0.2% both monthly and annually. The costs of acquiring vehicle ticked up by 1.0% in October and 4.6% on annual basis. Private transport operation gravitated by 0.2% and 6.5% annually with the main factor behind this turbulence being fuel prices with a decrease of 2.5% and a staggering decrease of 9.1% annually as a result of the local unit remaining valued under $/R15.50 and the brent crude price hovering around $40 per barrel. To nobody’s surprise, the public transport increased by 0.6% monthly and 2.9% annually following an echoing outcry by the taxi operation industry citing the government disregarding the severity of the impact of #Covid19SA in the industry thus, leaving them operating at a deficit with no adequate financial compensation tabled.


Communication


The prices remained steady for the month but shed 0.3% annually and the postal services and telecommunications services dwelled on the segmental average the same figures while telecommunication equipment fell by 0.4% monthly and 1.3% annually.


Recreation and Culture


Prices went up to 0.4% on monthly review and 1.8% annually buoyed by prices of both recreational equipments and books, newspapers and stationery. Recreational equipment ascended by 0.5% monthly and 0.8% annually while books, newspapers and stationery rose by 1.7% monthly to bring a massive annual jump of 9.4%. Packages holidays remained unshaken while recreational and cultural services remained steady monthly and 1.9% rise annually.


Education


The costs of education remained constant on a monthly scale but 5.6% surge was recorded annually. This doesn’t come as a surprise since the costs of education are conventionally reviewed before the end year in preparation for the new and upcoming academic year thus, a change once in year usually at the beginning of the year may be expected as different sectors are laboring to conjure up turn-around strategies to assuage the eye-watering impact of #Covid19SA. 



Restaurants and hotels


Restaurants and hotels prices remained the constant, monthly but increased by 1.9% annually. Restaurant prices remained steady on a monthly review to bring a 2.0% annual increase while for those whose work demands lot of local travels, on average they had to fork out extra 0.5% on hotel prices for only the month of October which is 0.7% less during the same month last year. The restaurant industry has been on the news recently being accused for overlooking the SA citizens when it comes to recruiting staff, the industry is said to be going for cheap foreign labor on the basis that they aren’t affiliated to any trade union leaving them without any choice but rather to accept any wage figure an entity offers. If this matter is taken with a significant amount of seriousness like that of truck industry, then we should glue our eyes on the restaurant prices as high labor costs emanating from employing more local individuals might filter into the customers’ costs.


Miscellaneous goods and services


Other goods and services not accounted in all of the above segments increased by 0.1% monthly taking it to the 6.8% annually. Personal care prices increased by 0.7% monthly and 0.3% annually. Insurance and Financial services remained unchanged during the month in question while costing 7.3% and 7.4% more than the same time last year, respectively.


One can easily understand that the segments in which we experienced significant amounts of changes were operational during lockdowns. Education, communication, restaurants and hotels and recreation and culture had slight changes if not at all or only annual change because they were perniciously affected by lockdowns and their operations were constrained and confined in stillness example, tourism and travels industry remained remained subdued as the country slowly eases its lockdown restrictions. A number of categories in the inflation basket recorded an annual fall in prices in October, most notably fuel (-9,1%), package holidays (-3,7%) and hotels (-3,3%).


Food and beverages, health, clothing and footwear recorded price increases because they were open for businesses during lockdowns under the category classification of essential goods and services and other categories are accommodated through a gradual easing of lockdowns restrictions hence, some had slight changes to their price levels.   



By Erasmus Boshomane

Email: eboshomane7@gmail.com

Cell: 084 847 6895

Earlier last week STATSSA announced that the Headline CPI went up to 3.7% hitting the highest record since 4.1% penned in March this year. The monthly increase in October was 0,3%, edging up from 0,2% recorded in both September and August.


The major contributors were categories such as food and non alcoholic beverages which increased by 1.3% on basis and  annual surge of 5.4% all in October, this is the largest annual upsurge since September 2017. 


Let’s now examine how all categories have been pricing their products and services both in October and previous 12 months


Pensioners


Prices for pensioners increased by 0.3% monthly which brought upon 3.4% annual increase in October.


Food and non alcoholic beverages


Prices of Food saw a monthly surge of 1.4% and annual rise of 5.4%. The major contributors to this surge came from Oil & fats (2.8%) and (10.0%) annual, Fruit (2.8%) and (13.5%) annual and vegetables(3.5%).


Prices for Non alcohol beverages went up by 1.2% monthly and 3.4% annually. The change was induced by increases of (1.5%, monthly & 6.3% annually) in hot beverages with main driver behind this upsurge prices being black tea. Black tea prices jumped by 3,9% in October compared with September, resulting in an annual rise of 10,4%. and (1.2%, monthly & 1.9%, annually) in cold beverages  


Alcoholic beverages and tobacco


Bare in mind the change reflected in these prices disregards activities occurring in the informal market thus, the overcharging of alcohol & tobacco on the informal trade market that customers quarrelled about aren’t accounted for.


The prices remained flat for the month of October but annual reading saw 2.7% rise. Wine and beer are the only items to have recorded monthly increases both at 0.1% and annual rise of 5.0% and 1.4%, respectively. The price of spirit fell by 0.5% monthly and rose by 3.2% annually. Tobacco did rise by 1.2% monthly and jumped by 7.5%.


Clothing and footwear


Clothing and footwear had slight increases of 0.1% both monthly and annually. Prices of clothes remained stagnant for a month of October but rose by 0.2% on an annual basis. Footwear rose by 0.2% monthly but fell by 0.1% annually.


Housing and utilities


Monthly figures saw no change in prices but increased of 2.9% annually. Monthly prices for rentals for housing, owners’ equivalent rent and water and other services remained constant but had annual increases of 1.4%(owners’ equivalent rent), 1.3%(rentals for housing) and 6.1%( water and other services). Surprisingly, Electricity and other fuels descended by 0.1% monthly before hitting 5.9% annual increase.


Households contents and services


Monthly and annual prices rose by 0.1% and 1.7%, respectively. Both appliances, tableware and equipment and supplies and services had slight increases and only furnishings, floor covering & textiles recorded decreases(-0.1% monthly and 2.0% annually)


Health


The costs for healthcare services rose by 0.2% monthly and 4.1% annually driven by sharp rises of 0.4% monthly and 2.9% annual medical products. Medical services remained unchanged in October before chalking down annual increase of 5.0%


Transport


Transport services shed 0.2% both monthly and annually. The costs of acquiring vehicle ticked up by 1.0% in October and 4.6% on annual basis. Private transport operation gravitated by 0.2% and 6.5% annually with the main factor behind this turbulence being fuel prices with a decrease of 2.5% and a staggering decrease of 9.1% annually as a result of the local unit remaining valued under $/R15.50 and the brent crude price hovering around $40 per barrel. To nobody’s surprise, the public transport increased by 0.6% monthly and 2.9% annually following an echoing outcry by the taxi operation industry citing the government disregarding the severity of the impact of #Covid19SA in the industry thus, leaving them operating at a deficit with no adequate financial compensation tabled.


Communication


The prices remained steady for the month but shed 0.3% annually and the postal services and telecommunications services dwelled on the segmental average the same figures while telecommunication equipment fell by 0.4% monthly and 1.3% annually.


Recreation and Culture


Prices went up to 0.4% on monthly review and 1.8% annually buoyed by prices of both recreational equipments and books, newspapers and stationery. Recreational equipment ascended by 0.5% monthly and 0.8% annually while books, newspapers and stationery rose by 1.7% monthly to bring a massive annual jump of 9.4%. Packages holidays remained unshaken while recreational and cultural services remained steady monthly and 1.9% rise annually.


Education


The costs of education remained constant on a monthly scale but 5.6% surge was recorded annually. This doesn’t come as a surprise since the costs of education are conventionally reviewed before the end year in preparation for the new and upcoming academic year thus, a change once in year usually at the beginning of the year may be expected as different sectors are laboring to conjure up turn-around strategies to assuage the eye-watering impact of #Covid19SA. 



Restaurants and hotels


Restaurants and hotels prices remained the constant, monthly but increased by 1.9% annually. Restaurant prices remained steady on a monthly review to bring a 2.0% annual increase while for those whose work demands lot of local travels, on average they had to fork out extra 0.5% on hotel prices for only the month of October which is 0.7% less during the same month last year. The restaurant industry has been on the news recently being accused for overlooking the SA citizens when it comes to recruiting staff, the industry is said to be going for cheap foreign labor on the basis that they aren’t affiliated to any trade union leaving them without any choice but rather to accept any wage figure an entity offers. If this matter is taken with a significant amount of seriousness like that of truck industry, then we should glue our eyes on the restaurant prices as high labor costs emanating from employing more local individuals might filter into the customers’ costs.


Miscellaneous goods and services


Other goods and services not accounted in all of the above segments increased by 0.1% monthly taking it to the 6.8% annually. Personal care prices increased by 0.7% monthly and 0.3% annually. Insurance and Financial services remained unchanged during the month in question while costing 7.3% and 7.4% more than the same time last year, respectively.


One can easily understand that the segments in which we experienced significant amounts of changes were operational during lockdowns. Education, communication, restaurants and hotels and recreation and culture had slight changes if not at all or only annual change because they were perniciously affected by lockdowns and their operations were constrained and confined in stillness example, tourism and travels industry remained remained subdued as the country slowly eases its lockdown restrictions. A number of categories in the inflation basket recorded an annual fall in prices in October, most notably fuel (-9,1%), package holidays (-3,7%) and hotels (-3,3%).


Food and beverages, health, clothing and footwear recorded price increases because they were open for businesses during lockdowns under the category classification of essential goods and services and other categories are accommodated through a gradual easing of lockdowns restrictions hence, some had slight changes to their price levels.   



By Erasmus Boshomane

Email: eboshomane7@gmail.com

Cell: 084 847 6895






 





 

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

The tourism industry welcomes the opening of borders

Earlier last week the STATSSA monthly statistical release showed how much the #covid19SA lockdown restrictions annihilated the tourism industry. The country had a total of 205 132 travellers of which 66 892 were South African residents and 138 240 were foreign travellers through South African ports of entry/exit in August 2020. A further breakdown of the figures for South African residents indicates that there were 30 547 arrivals, 36 345 departures and no travellers in transit. The corresponding volume for foreign arrivals, departures and travellers in transit was 67 051, 71 148 and 41, respectively. 


The number of South African residents saw a reduction of 93,7% . Departures decreased by 93,0% from 522 927 to 36 345, and transits decreased by 100,0% descending from 976 to nothing.Coming from outside the country’s national borders foreign travellers, arrivals decreased by 95,1% from 1 377 914 to 67 051, departures decreased by 94,1% from 1 215 970 to 71 148 while transits decreased by almost 100,0%, all figures were recorded during the period reading from 482 712 in August 2019 to 30 547 in August 2020.


Due to stringent #covid19SA regulations, road transport was the most easy to use mode of transport as it shaded the chunk of all categories starting with just mode of transport trickling to sub-categories such as mode of transport by regions, gender, age etc. The road transport was used by 180 023 which is 87,8% of the total 205 132 travellers. Only 24 461 (11,9%) made use air transport while just a granule amounting to 648 (0,3%) used sea transport. Further information can be sourced from the STATSA website.


During an additional stimulus announcement, President Cyril Ramaphosa conceded that due to the restrictions the tourism industry lost significant amount of money. “I cannot quantify exactly how much,” said the President. “We can potentially regain some of this loss if we address the architecture of our current system. Arrangements are being finalised for a whole string of countries; the announcement will be made soon. In fact, in just weeks we expect the announcement. This will open doors to various countries.”


Government to amend lockdown restrictions and what lies ahead?


Ramaphosa further highlighted the concerns and complaints they received from travellers who would like to come to SA that they dragging back the industry. The pernicious effect of #Coivid19SA on the tourism industry cornered the government into making what could be a premature decision of assuaging the situation by making amendments on the lockdown restrictions while talks of “Second Wave’’ of infections being on the horizon gains momentum. The send wave of #Covid19 infections has already been seen in countries like China, France, UK while US now have the third wave gawking at their thwacked economy. Amendments would be made to the regulations on the travel of minors; the list of countries requiring visas for South Africa would be reviewed and an e-visa pilot would be implemented. The visa requirements for highly skilled foreigners would be revised.


The decision to amend lockdown regulations has obviously conceived trade-off which will emerge in case of Government having to delist the countries which make up a chunk of if not the biggest contributors to the total travellers through SA port of entry/exit. Another trade-off will be that of granting allowance to countries that still remain epicentre if not amongst the top countries on the infections chart. 


Now let’s look at who are the most popular overseas visitors in SA

10 countries make up 75.5% of all tourists from overseas countries(20


full list of high-risk countries, from which tourists may not visit South Africa, as of 19 October:


United States of America (USA): 35 699 (21.5%)

United Kingdom (UK): 21 834 (13.1%)

India: 13 238 (8.0%)

Germany: 11 827 (7.1%)

France: 11 142 (6.7%)

Australia: 8 825 (5.3%)

China: 7 259 (4.4%)

The Netherlands: 5 782 (3.5%)

Brazil: 5 149 (3.1%)

Canada: 4 771 (2.9%)





In May 2019, the figures show that the number of tourists decreased for four of ten leading countries, France, Germany, The Netherlands and Brazil. Of the top ten countries, only Australia is not listed as banned from travelling to SA thanks to their efficient and effective measures, Furthermore, all the BRICS members are banned despite the President Ramaphosa pointing his BRICS Co-member’s plea ‘I have heard on my own travels that there are people who want to come to South Africa but find it difficult. Chinese President, Xi Jinping, said to me that there are a growing number of Chinese middle-class tourists who want to travel here but find the regime prohibitive.” Ramaphosa said.


With their agape hands, the Tourism Business Council of South Africa (TBCSA) welcomed on of the by-product in the announcement that the list of countries requiring visas for South Africa would be reviewed and an e-visa pilot would be implemented. The visa requirements for highly skilled foreigners would be revised. “We are hoping that the announcements in the following weeks will address all the concerns we have raised with regard to visas and unabridged birth certificates. We have said from the start that unabridged birth certificates have created a large problem for tourism. We want this gone to re-encourage the movement of people into SA.” Interim CEO of the Tourism Business Council of South Africa (TBCSA), Tshifhiwa Tshivhengwa,


Effect


Although the second wave might be on the cards, the effect of this decision of easing regulations to perk up some industries such as tourism will most likely be felt as some parts of the industry, saw operation narrowed while others experienced no activity at all. In addition to that, some of the regular visitors own properties in the country, "Most of them own properties in the country. We appreciate the significant economic contribution that they make through their activities in the country. To this end, we will also allow visitors, in whichever category, who are coming to stay for a three months period or more subject to Covid-19 protocols." The Department of Health Affairs said. Another significant degree of impact will be expected from the revision of Visa regulations after the removal of visa regulation requirements saw the Russia-RSA market expanding by a staggering 47% in the 2nd quarter of 2018.


By: Mmamoloko Boshomane

Email: eboshomane7@gmail.com

Cell: 084 847 6895




Thursday, August 6, 2020

Despite leverage Mechanisms, blended finance remains inviable approach for LDCs

Leverage mechanisms play an influential and often decisive role in Blended Finance approaches, but the degree of its influence may decline as the investment risks attached to a country escalate(OECD report of 2019). The Development Bank of Southern Africa announced the establishment of Climate Finance Facility through the principle of Blended Finance two year after the continental financial institution, African Development Bank delegates agreed that the use of blended finance as a tool to address risk perceptions and crowd in private investments to develop Africa and achieve the Sustainable Development Goals at the inaugural Africa Investment Forum in 2018.
                                 Has the approach been viable in Africa or LDCs?    NB!! 31/43 LDCs are from Africa

The report released by the OECD late last year showed that particularly in Least Developed Countries and Low Income Countries, leverage mechanisms plays an influential role in private finance mobilisations although the report pointed how much the LDCs investment risks make it difficult to mobilize private funds specifically for Least Developed Countries in comparison to other categories. Private investments mobilised for LDCs makes up a just pinch of salt if not a granule of the total private investments mobilised for all categories.

Private investors preferred guarantees making the it the most powerful mechanism at 63% of the total volume reported in 2012-2017. Guarantees represent over 55% of all private finance mobilised in every year excluding 2017, when guarantees fell to 44% of private finance mobilise.Total amounts reported as mobilised from direct investments in companies registered a slightly increased over the full time period, from representing 18% of private finance mobilised in 2012, to over 21% in 2017. The number of operations on guarantees declined, after recording 35% of deals in 2012 and a mere 15% in 2017, in favour of direct investment in companies and SPVs and simple co-financing. Guarantees were used in 35 LDCs to mobilise private finance. However, 5 countries, 3 of which in Africa - Angola,Senegal and Zambia -received over half of all private finance mobilised through guarantees, OECD 2019.

Simple co-financing arrangements represent the largest number of deals overall, but mobilised a relatively small share of private capital, 4% over 2012-2017.Acquisition of shares in collective investment vehicles (CIVs) remains a less attractive leveraging mechanism in LDCs, representing 2% of private investment mobilised and total number of deals between 2012-2017.

Annually, Private finance mobilised $17.7 millions through syndicated loans, the largest in LDCs. Guarantees mobilised private funds amounting to $15.5 millions while Credit lines contributed $10.3 millions towards the total mobilised through Private finance. Simple Co-financing amassed the least funds, $0.4 millions while Shares in collective investment vehicles and Direct investment in companies and SPVs mobilised $7.2 millions and $8.3 millions of private finance in LDCs, respectively. 

Despite the influence leveraging mechanisms have on Finance mobilisation, just a mere USD 9.3 billion, or 6% of the total finance investments mobilised went to LDCs, whereas over 70% went to middle-income countries which indicates nothing much changes when it comes to using the Blended Finance to attract investors for the less advantaged countries, amid the leverage mechanisms employed and UNCDF proposing the five-point action agenda to improve the practice of blended finance and support the LDCs to achieve SDGs. Is blended finance really an appropriate apparatus for attracting investments for the most vulnerable and less advantaged? 

Reasons cited for the fruitlessness and inviabilities of the approach is some investors may have a low appetite for risk given the need to preserve their triple-A credit ratings, they may lack awareness of investable projects, institutional incentives may push them to close deals, leading to a focus on “easier” markets or projects, or their mandates may favour commercial returns. 

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